Probability and Statistics

The mathematical foundation every ML practitioner needs.

8 articles

  1. 01

    Probability and Statistics (1): Probability Spaces — Why We Need Axioms (But Won't Overdo It)

    Building probability from the ground up: sample spaces, Kolmogorov's axioms, conditional probability, Bayes' theorem, …

    36 min
  2. 02

    Probability and Statistics (2): Random Variables and the Distributions That Matter

    A rigorous tour of random variables, PMFs, PDFs, CDFs, and every distribution that matters in practice — Bernoulli, …

    28 min
  3. 03

    Probability and Statistics (3): Expectation, Variance, and the Moment-Generating Trick

    From expectation and variance through covariance, correlation, and moment-generating functions to Chebyshev's inequality …

    26 min
  4. 04

    Probability and Statistics (4): Joint Distributions, Marginalization, and Independence

    Joint PMFs and PDFs, marginal and conditional distributions, the bivariate normal, transformations via the Jacobian …

    32 min
  5. 05

    Probability and Statistics (5): Law of Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorem

    The two pillars of probability: the Law of Large Numbers guarantees sample means converge, and the Central Limit Theorem …

    28 min
  6. 06

    Probability and Statistics (6): Estimation — MLE, MAP, and the Bias-Variance Story

    Point estimation from method of moments through maximum likelihood and MAP, with Fisher information, the Cramer-Rao …

    26 min
  7. 07

    Probability and Statistics (7): Hypothesis Testing — p-Values, Confidence Intervals, and All Their Pitfalls

    A rigorous treatment of hypothesis testing, p-values, Type I/II errors, confidence intervals, and multiple testing …

    28 min
  8. 08

    Probability and Statistics (8): Bayesian Statistics — Priors, Posteriors, and Why Frequentists Argue

    Bayesian inference from first principles: posterior distributions, conjugate priors, the Beta-Binomial and Normal-Normal …

    28 min